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In fact, it is very likely that this first contact with fire never happened. Human beings, like many other species, remember the situation and its negative consequences in order to avoid them in the future. But most likely this will not happen again. Joe Biden gave them a new reason to believe in that leadership unreservedly yesterday. The significance of this trip is also strong in Europe, mainly in the ex-communist countries, who have unlimited faith in American leadership and NATO, but less so in the idea of a Europe under construction. This will not prevent future military offensives, but at least the Kremlin knows it cannot hope for long-term Western demobilization.

Today, Ukraine's allies want Moscow to understand how determined they are to oppose a Russian victory. Last year, when he decided to launch the invasion of Ukraine, Vladimir Putin relied on a weak reaction from the West - a few sanctions, maybe, but certainly not the massive support we have seen for the past year.

He was clearly mistaken.Īt every stage of the conflict, each side makes its decisions based both on what it perceives as the other's intentions, and also on the other's determination. Vladimir Putin relied on a weak reaction from the West. members of Congress, Democrats and Republicans alike, came to deliver the same message to Europeans who may be wondering about Western commitment. But that's not what matters the most: The message Biden is sending to Putin is that he should not count on any kind of 'fatigue' from the United States - and he has proven that by announcing an additional $500 million in military aid.

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